Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 22, 2020

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Mon May 04 21:34:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I am fairly pessimistic about the near-to-medium term also, because social distancing is fraying and we don't have a Plan B. At the same time, there are a lot of unknowns, including exactly how big the effects of fraying social distancing are, which we won't know for a few weeks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Let me put this carefully: there is often a disconnect between what I'd call the "mood of the internet on COVID-19" vs. the data/evidence on a given day. Today the mood was pessimistic but the numbers were comparatively good. Can think of other times when opposite has been true. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Because there is now a fairly explicit policy debate about what to do next—more so than a few weeks ago—that's likely to spill over into a lack of consensus about how to interpret the data. And with COVID data, there are few givens and most things are subject to interpretation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated