Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 22, 2020

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Mon May 04 17:14:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, could also be: someone wants to scare Trump out of touting re-opening, so they're releasing some sort of worst-case scenario or conjectural scenario and it's being portrayed as the base case. https://t.co/dO8uFcdxX5 — PolitiTweet.org

Worth considering, as is the possibility that the White House has absolutely no idea what it's doing at all. I su… https://t.co/5xJ0qJOgGZ

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende I don't know, but I think the lack of context in NYT's reporting on this is regrettable. There are some things in that document that don't make much sense on the surface, and maybe they have good explanations, but we don't have many explanations at all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, Canada's data is starting to look less positive. Here are their daily death tolls for the past 7 days *scaled up to the US population* (i.e. multiplying by ~8.7 since the US has 8.7 times more people than Canada). 1,397 1,013 1,528 1,807 1,641 1,196 1,327 — PolitiTweet.org

I'm very wary of these sorts of comparisons. The same head-to-head analysis would suggest that the US government &… https://t.co/RwKGY7…

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated