Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 22, 2020

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Mon May 04 16:09:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Projecting ~200K new detected cases each day **by the end of the month** from a current baseline of ~30K is also a LOT, even with quite pessimistic assumptions. I would encourage some caution with taking these at face value. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why are *reported* deaths in this slide so different than projected deaths? Was this a model originally developed in March or something? It is very strange. https://t.co/Pb4XdigjgT https://t.co/xJxNftpj7Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed, this also doesn't make much sense. https://t.co/RzV2Hufgh2 — PolitiTweet.org

How do you multiply the number of projected cases by 8 and only double the number of deaths? Is that because deaths… https://t.co/fdGbGreGnt

Posted May 4, 2020 Hibernated