Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 20, 2020

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Sun May 03 18:08:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This very well-written (and right about a lot of stuff) post from March implies that we could get R to 0.5 or 0.6 without too much of a problem, noting that it had been around 0.3 in Wuhan. https://t.co/m1IhFoVcMQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the one hand, there were people who understood "flatten the curve" to mean merely spreading cases out over a longer period of time to avoid overwhelming ICUs (e.g. R>1). OTOH, there were people who thought we could **crush** the curve via social distancing when we couldn't. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But Wuhan had a stricter lockdown than Western countries have implemented. It also had centralized quarantine, which may have a huge effect. There are perhaps also questions about how reliable the Chinese data is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2020 Hibernated