Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Fri May 01 13:33:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Well, clearly there's something different about outcomes in East Asian countries vs. in the North Atlantic countries. Is it knowledge from SARS? "Culture"? A different strain of the virus? Mask-wearing? A different conception of individual rights? All of the above? I don't know. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @Tracinski @asymmetricinfo There are also theories that cases are likely to be more severe on average if people have multiple exposures, as is likely amidst very bad outbreaks (Lombardy, NYC). So there are several reasons the IFR might not be perfectly constant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias BTW, I don't know that I'd make the comparison with Italy and Spain, which may have been unlucky in some ways (i.e. it hit hard very early on). The UK seems salient, though, as does Canada, and Canada's outcomes are becoming similarly bad to ours. https://t.co/hWwG3TKFGV — PolitiTweet.org

COVID-19 in Canada: —Not much sign of a slowdown; R seems to be ~=1. —Testing per capita ~same as US —Starting to… https://t.co/dljNbtWfrU

Posted May 1, 2020 Hibernated