Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Fri May 01 13:13:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And all of these countries are struggling with the "reopening conversation" just as much as we are. This might suggest that authors of these plans are not thinking enough about what the actual political (and logistical, etc.) constraints are. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Among what you might consider our closest peers, the UK's outcomes have been somewhat worse than the US across a variety of metrics. Canada's have been somewhat better but are trending toward the US. Germany better (though more similar than you'd think outside NYC). France worse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @Tracinski @asymmetricinfo There are also theories that cases are likely to be more severe on average if people have multiple exposures, as is likely amidst very bad outbreaks (Lombardy, NYC). So there are several reasons the IFR might not be perfectly constant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 1, 2020 Hibernated