Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Thu Apr 30 22:03:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This seems smart. A pleateu maybe more likely than a distinct 2nd peak. But not necessarily a much better outcome than a 2nd peak. — PolitiTweet.org

I know all the discussion is about a possible "2nd wave", but I've found this odd given that we haven't finished th… https://t.co/kkshCoHMBz

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

*Some* of that is driven by NY, where the rate of positive tests has plummeted (genuinely good news). But there are some signs of progress elsewhere. Outside NY, the positive test rate has declined to ~12% from a peak of ~17%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Having not quite been able to choose between suppression and mitigation the US may wind up halfway in between. Possibly Europe also. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated