Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Thu Apr 30 21:20:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In theory, the gap between **actual deaths** and **reported deaths** will close over time. Even if everyone in the US were miraculously cured of COVID-19 today, the **reported** death count would continue to rise for weeks, maybe even for months. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We know that considerably more people have died in most states than the confirmed death counts. What "considerably" means will vary from state to state. Some states are better at counting deaths that occur in nursing homes. Some count "probable" deaths and some do not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We may never capture some deaths, other than through statistical inference, and there are likely to be a lot of methodological debates over how to make those inferences, so it won't be a perfectly precise count. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated