Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Thu Apr 30 17:02:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure that lockdowns themselves are likely to kill people. They may actually save lives in the short run (e.g. fewer traffic deaths). However, failure to seek medical care (or not being able to receive it) could be a big contributor to mortality. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It might be useful to look at excess mortality in states/counties that *don't* seem to have had bad COVID-19 outbreaks, but which engaged in lockdowns anyway similar to states/countries that did. That would help you to separate the impact of lockdowns from missed COVID deaths. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Yeah, the quality of data from state to state seems to vary a lot, as does how comprehensive they are being in trying to count COVID deaths. So this might be something more for down the road when data quality has improved. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated