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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Thu Apr 30 16:03:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. if you're wondering about whether Cuomo is being this *specific*, yes he is. https://t.co/8KWFiPnq07 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I actually think there's likely to be a fair amount of consensus over what Cuomo says is his explicit strategy: gradually open stuff up, but stop/reverse when either the spread starts meaningfully increasing (R > 1.1) OR there are signs of hospital/ICU strain (>70% capacity). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It might be useful to look at excess mortality in states/counties that *don't* seem to have had bad COVID-19 outbreaks, but which engaged in lockdowns anyway similar to states/countries that did. That would help you to separate the impact of lockdowns from missed COVID deaths. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 30, 2020 Hibernated