Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Wed Apr 29 21:56:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's also been a hell of a price. Sweden has death rates (importantly: as a share of the overall population, *not* of infections) 3-7x higher than their neighbors. And I hesitate to think what would happen if we tried this in the US with a less healthy population. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So what's misunderstood about Sweden 1) They ARE doing a fair amount of distancing even if some high-visibility stuff (e.g. restaurants) remains open. 2) ICU rates from COVID-19 are not all *that* high especially if you have a healthy population that treats its old people well. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo It does, but that helps to explain why things got so bad in NYC. You likely had 2-3 weeks (very late February and early-mid March) of very rapid spread before people started wising up, which roughly corresponds to the average length of an ICU stay. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated