Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Wed Apr 29 17:55:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PollsterPatrick @PatrickRuffini Mortality isn't perfect, either. It's lagging, and there are a lot of issues with respect to how we're counting deaths. I think measures related to hospitalizations should theoretically be the most robust measures, but they aren't always robustly reported in practice. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PollsterPatrick @PatrickRuffini The positive testing rate can have issues, but it is leaps and bounds better than the raw number of positive tests. It is a useful metric to a first approximation, while the raw number (without context on test volume) is a useless one to a first approximation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PollsterPatrick @PatrickRuffini But I'd say hospitalizations, the positive test *rate* and deaths are the 3 reasonably robust indicators. We could debate about which order to put them in. Hopefully they all tell similar stories (they basically do in NY). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated