Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Wed Apr 29 17:32:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Korea now seems to think the so-called "re-infections" it found are actually just false positives. A lot of smart epidemiologists thought this was likely the case all along, so not a huge surprise, but passing this along for people who freaked out earlier. https://t.co/C3iIjxDr7S — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a steeper decline than we're seeing in other places. It may reflect the fact that enough NYCers had COVID-19 (the state estimates 25%) to provide some benefit from herd immunity. Not likely to be the case in most other places. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PollsterPatrick @PatrickRuffini The positive testing rate can have issues, but it is leaps and bounds better than the raw number of positive tests. It is a useful metric to a first approximation, while the raw number (without context on test volume) is a useless one to a first approximation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated