Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 14, 2020

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Wed Apr 29 14:27:03 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Cuomo's press conferences have also featured slides where he's talked about how actual hospitalizations were considerably lower than all of the models the state had been looking at. https://t.co/aIzf6qRodU — PolitiTweet.org

Cuomo has shown this slide a couple of times now, and I'm curious about it. While the number of *deaths* has been b… https://t.co/udPUOebqsj

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, IMHE lowered various hospitalization numbers to around 1/3 to 1/5 of where they had been originally to make them match the actual data they were seeing. https://t.co/2uTXs2rJyV — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 What’s the best data on actual vs projected hospitalizations?

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And again, the *fatality* rates have been roughly as bad as models feared/assumed. (Emphasis on roughly since there's some range of debate.) But hospitalization rates have been lower than most projections. In general, there has been some reluctance to talk about this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 29, 2020 Hibernated