Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 22:29:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Possible Step 5) — not sure about this one — Then maybe more drastic changes are made and you do get a big spike, perhaps in fall where there are more vectors for spread (more time spent indoors, schools reopen, etc.) especially if weather is a factor. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Step 2) In fact, changes are incremental, people are cautious (e.g. by wearing masks), some people stay home, perhaps weather and improved testing helps a bit. Step 3) Cases flatline or get modestly worse, but far short of dire predictions. Step 4) "See, experts wrong again!" — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen States could also really use systems for faster detection. Do a constant, random sample of tests (n = 500/day), or set triggers based on emergency room visits. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated