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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 16:26:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Cuomo almost literally just said this! He wants to keep R-effective below 1.1. https://t.co/n7tvBYhCii — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But many states and countries may implicitly (or even explicitly e.g. Germany) act as though they have an R "budget". If contract tracing improves, for instance, they may be able to relax social distancing more to stay within their R budget of ~1.0. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If true (and I can think of some confounders so I'm not 100% confident) this seems quite important. The fatality rate wouldn't be ~constant across different places. It would be worse in places with severe outbreaks when people are exposed multiple times. https://t.co/rGAEzPsghG https://t.co/zqmF9c2xxE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated