Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Tue Apr 28 15:18:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Important to note: This is not what everyone calling for social distancing assumed. There were a wide variety of stances, all of which were served by the same *near-term* goal. Also, their report was maybe unduly pessimistic about alternatives to distancing, e.g. contact tracing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People say "nobody actually called for intensive social distancing for 18 months until a vaccine is found" but that's exactly what the famous Imperial College report did call for. (Though it allowed for periodic breaks in social distancing.) https://t.co/0lITMpvxQH https://t.co/Q5BC83vGV3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In fact, fundamentally I don't know there was even agreement about whether we were pursing mitigation (flatten/slow the curve to avoid overloading ICUs but don't ultimately prevent the spread) or suppression (significantly lower the overall number of cases until a cure/vaccine). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 28, 2020 Hibernated