Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Mon Apr 27 14:01:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Gates is quite optimistic about treatments and vaccines and quite against opening up right now. Conversely, you'll read takes that are like "we may never get a vaccine... so we might as well open back up and learn how to live it." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One of the seeming paradoxes that comes through in this Bill Gates interview is that the more optimistic one tends to be about vaccines and treatments the more one tends to be *against* opening back up right now—and hence one can seem more pessimistic. https://t.co/mvZrKQHS0V — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A big challenge in determining the effectiveness of policy interventions (i.e. social distancing) is that there are really several buckets that determine how bad the outbreak is in any given area and it's not clear policy interventions are the most important one in the short run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated