Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Mon Apr 27 02:06:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The "even if you open stuff back up, people won't come" take is smart IMO in the short run—indeed, I think people generally underweight the importance of voluntary social distancing. But possibly overrated/overconfident in the medium run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, one issue where I really only want to hear from well-credentialed experts is on the probability and timeline for a vaccine. And the experts seem reasonably optimistic. (Though all caution about at least a year-long+ timeline). — PolitiTweet.org

Yeah, I've seen several people confidently stating "Humans have never successfully made a coronavirus vaccine", whi… https://t.co/23YnJFxruY

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The equilibrium could shift. It's likely a bit nonlinear. It already seems to be different in different countries. These are hard problems with hard trade-offs. It's not like the current equilibrium is some longstanding practice; we're all improvising as we go along. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 27, 2020 Hibernated