Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Fri Apr 24 05:31:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Was that flu I had in January the coronavirus?" is like a textbook case of whether you understand Bayes' theorem. https://t.co/g0ZzM425ue — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

BUT: A lot of things chip away at the margins. Technology and new drugs/therapies help. We never get "enough" testing or contact tracing but we do get *some*. We learn more about the disease. We make improvements through trial-and-error. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK, quick thread on the 3 major types of statistical issues in seroprevalence studies—that is, studies that try to figure out how many people had COVID-19, like the one released in NY yesterday. These are: 1) Test accuracy (false negatives/positives) 2) Sample selection 3) Lags — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2020 Hibernated