Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Thu Apr 23 19:35:03 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@CarlBialik Nope, not on its own, given how fast COVID spreads. However, if you're combining with social distancing, it can have some effect and tip R further below 1. NYC's curve has been bending down faster than other places (some not bending down at all) and that may be part of why IMO. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@CarlBialik That's because it can have meaningful effects at slowing things down even before you hit the threshold, but also there's momentum/overshoot, so some people will still get infected even after you hit the threshold. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@trvrb Do you think IFR is likely to vary meaningfully based on the strain or is largely a lot of unfounded speculation? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated