Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Thu Apr 23 16:41:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Many caveats here and we have to learn more about how the tests were conducted, which could bias the numbers either upward or downward (or some mix of both). But, interesting data. — PolitiTweet.org

Regional test results fascinating: 21% of NYC tested positive for antibodies https://t.co/fVzB7NHc06

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But if I go to a movie theater with 100 others and it gets spread there? We moviegoers don't know one another. We didn't talk before the movie. We won't talk afterward. It would likely just look like generic "community spread". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Assuming there's a slight lag between when these tests were conducted and when the results were published, and taking everything else at face value, we'd be looking at a ~13-15x undercount in NYC and maybe more like ~8-10x in NY outside NYC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated