Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Thu Apr 23 15:02:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems likely there is bias in which superspreader events survive into the fossil record. If I and 100 other people attend a wedding and a number of us get sick, we'll talk to one another afterward (wedding guests know one another!) so we'll know it was spread at the wedding. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is *likely* that the situation in California is improving, but the state's data is such a mess that I'm not sure we'd really know if it wasn't. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But if I go to a movie theater with 100 others and it gets spread there? We moviegoers don't know one another. We didn't talk before the movie. We won't talk afterward. It would likely just look like generic "community spread". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 23, 2020 Hibernated