Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Wed Apr 22 21:41:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Importantly, the negatives do not necessarily line up with the positives. If I take a test Tuesday, and it's positive, it might show up in the data Wednesday in California. If it's negative then, who knows—it might show up next week. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Instead, for states like these, it means "we've had 150K more negative tests results since we last could be bothered to give you a good estimate of negatives". Odds are that many those negatives actually occurred days ago or even weeks ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In states that *are* diligent about reporting negatives, like New York, you *can* literally say "here's what share of tests were positive yesterday". That doesn't work in states like California where negatives and positives are reported with different lags. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated