Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2020

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Wed Apr 22 20:32:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Geeky note: LOESS-type smoothers are often overused and sometimes even abused. But they're a good use for COVID-19 data where there are fairly consistent trends on a ~weekly basis but also erratic reporting from day to day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hope this was a really useful conversation for both fans and critics of the @IHME_UW model. — PolitiTweet.org

In a special edition of Model Talk, @NateSilver538 and I talked to Dr. Chris Murray of @IHME_UW about how he went a… https://t.co/T1M5EkisNO

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

LOESS methods are often misused because they do not handle *true* discontinuities in the data very well, i.e. some huge event happens and there's a huge, essentially instantaneous shift in the polls. You *don't* necessarily want to smooth that over. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated