Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2020

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Wed Apr 22 17:48:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In looking at these serology studies, which on the surface may seem to show much different results from one another, it's important to account for how much testing a given region is doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Seroprevalence study in Geneva: 5.5% of the population infected with #SARS-CoV-2. Translates into 27’000 cases, rou… https://t.co/TPpCzMpKdp

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @DanRosenheck It may have evolved a bit but the methodologies that produce super high R's are often dubious IMO (i.e. not accounting for increase in detections) and anything much greater than 3 (perhaps outside of relatively narrow settings) would show up in the deaths & hospitalizations data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In Geneva canton, for instance, there have been about ~45 tests per 1,000 people. That compares to ~25 tests per 1,000 people elsewhere in Switzerland, or ~13 tests per 1,000 people in the US. https://t.co/IXgpLYmDZm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated