Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2020

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Tue Apr 21 23:14:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Or there may be a lot of places where R is <1 among the general population, but R>>1 for critical workers and among other populations. A lot of the bad outbreaks recently are in places like prisons and meat-packing plants, not the general population. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One question we might ask from this is whether US-style social distancing is truly enough to get R<1 on its own, or instead it needs some "help" from herd immunity, warm weather, or — in some of these low-population states —geographic isolation + contact-tracing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's this notion that people without domain expertise produce a lot of crap but the occasional brilliant finding. But on coronavirus it seems the opposite. As far as I can tell, there's lot of fairly solid B+ stuff. But the occasional disastrously wrong F- study. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated