Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Tue Apr 21 15:17:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There could be much more underreporting in poorer places with less access to medical care and worse record-keeping systems, by contrast, or places that are in some form of denial about the extent of their outbreak. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd be especially careful about making inferences outside of that narrow band of countries/places. There is possibly less undercounting in wealthy Western places with *mild* outbreaks (e.g. Canada, Utah) because their medical and record-keeping systems are less overwhelmed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall though, this data puts some boundaries on what the real death counts are in the US and Western Europe. Unless places are explicitly trying to count probable deaths (e.g. NYC), there is clearly likely to be an undercount. But it is not likely, say, a 3x or 5x undercount. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated