Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

Created

Tue Apr 21 15:17:05 +0000 2020

Likes

106

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For instance, NYC *is* trying to count *probable* COVID-19 deaths, and their total (confirmed + probable) death count is about 1.5x as high as their confirmed count. https://t.co/FzTtPAVIGR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Does that mean you can just multiply confirmed COVID-19 deaths by 1.5 to get the "real" death count? Well, in some cases, it might not be a terrible approach. But you'd have to be careful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Still, inferring from excess mortality data can be tricky. Being in lockdown with heavy strain on hospitals can have various effects that push other types of deaths up (e.g. you have a heart attack, the ambulance takes longer to come & you die) and down (fewer traffic accidents). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated