Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Tue Apr 21 15:17:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems like in wealthy Western countries with bad outbreaks of COVID-19, total excess mortality is about 1.5x higher than confirmed COVID-19 deaths. Quick thread on how I think about this. https://t.co/ybmRpb7wRQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's interesting to read this as a time-capsule one month later, as it's a pretty good summary of highbrow discourse around COVID-19 at that time. Some things hold up quite well, others not as well. https://t.co/m1IhFoVcMQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Does that mean you can just multiply confirmed COVID-19 deaths by 1.5 to get the "real" death count? Well, in some cases, it might not be a terrible approach. But you'd have to be careful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2020 Hibernated