Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2020

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Sun Apr 19 21:49:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Which would you prefer? 1) A stay-at-home order along the lines of what's in place in NY or CA, for 6 weeks. 2) A much stricter order where outdoor exercise is prohibited, a wider range of businesses are closed, delivery is limited, and enforcement is greater—but for 3 weeks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a pretty decent-looking report. Tests up and cases down. Caveats: A lot of the decline in positive test rates has been driven by New York, which has seen sharp declines in recent days. Reporting on deaths is typically slower on weekends and Mondays. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 I'm trying to illustrate the difference between an R of like 0.85 and an R of 0.7 or something. Imagine that the both policies result in the same overall number of cases and deaths in the medium-to-long-run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2020 Hibernated