Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 2, 2020

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Fri Apr 17 18:39:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved @tylercowen Flatten the curve has meant a lot of different things. In some (not all) early usages, people were talking about not necessarily limiting the total number of cases but spreading them out over longer to reduce burden on the health care system. This is sort of what Sweden is doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @tylercowen Although maybe that's too pessimistic on what R=0.8 looks like? If there's a 5% aggregate attack rate, what percentage of people are currently infectious? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 @kmedved @tylercowen I think later on it evolved into "get R<1 until we can figure out what to do later", which is sort of the de facto policy in most non-Sweden Western countries. This *does* strive to limit the total number of cases, but the issue is there's no clear exit strategy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2020 Hibernated