Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 22:40:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved Yeah, I think that's right. And I'm not sure why we should necessarily have expected deaths to peak last week given that new cases had not really begin to decline yet. The case is stronger now that new cases are declining, so fingers crossed we'll see that in deaths in 7-10 days. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah. The one thing to be slightly mindful of is that states may now be going back and counting deaths that they missed before, and it's not exactly clear how this might show up in the data. But Occam's razor is that we hadn't hit the peak in the number of deaths yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Trump keeps saying the US is past the peak of the pandemic. The numbers suggest that’s premature. https://t.co/GroeQDLJbz

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson They don't have a ton of ICU cases so far, but the concern is that it's still getting worse, and will continue to get worse with their current strategy. It isn't getting worse at a super fast rate because they are doing *some* social distancing, but it is getting worse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated