Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 22:25:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the other hand, the new cases data remains more encouraging, despite a fairly bad day from NY. US-wide, it does look possible that new cases have begun to decrease (at least if you adjust for testing volume), though there will probably be bumps along the way. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not great. It looks like this week is likely to bring a new peak in deaths, rather than Tuesday being a one-day anomaly. Each day has continued to bring a higher death count *than the same day one week earlier*, which is a good day to avoid day-of-week effects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah. The one thing to be slightly mindful of is that states may now be going back and counting deaths that they missed before, and it's not exactly clear how this might show up in the data. But Occam's razor is that we hadn't hit the peak in the number of deaths yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Trump keeps saying the US is past the peak of the pandemic. The numbers suggest that’s premature. https://t.co/GroeQDLJbz

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated