Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 22:18:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly-reported deaths Today: 2,492 Yesterday: 2,299 One week ago (4/8): 1,901 Newly-reported cases: T: 30K Y: 26K 4/8: 30K Newly-reported tests: T: 161K Y: 147K 4/8: 140K Share of tests positive: T: 19% Y: 18% 4/8: 22% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Related to this: so many parameters about COVID-19 are so uncertain that societies don't really know what trade-offs they're making. An underrated reason to have done/keep doing social distancing is simply to have more time to collect more data and evaluate evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not great. It looks like this week is likely to bring a new peak in deaths, rather than Tuesday being a one-day anomaly. Each day has continued to bring a higher death count *than the same day one week earlier*, which is a good day to avoid day-of-week effects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated