Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Wed Apr 15 15:38:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How many COVID-19 cases result in hospitalizations? In states that have tracked cumulative hospitalizations, there's a wide range, but an average of 17% of *known cases* have resulted in hospitalizations so far. However, many cases are unknown. https://t.co/WvxFibwkvH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In case you didn't read the earlier thread, this *doesn't* apply to deaths, and we shall see, but there is some reason for concern that the model might *under-predict* deaths instead. https://t.co/ji4cAIYNVl — PolitiTweet.org

Thread. It looks like the IHME model is fond of drawing curves that are quite symmetric, i.e. they expect deaths to… https://t.co/9Cd4K4z1zN

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The consensus has seemed to be that around 1 in 10 infections are detected in the US, in which case the true hospitalization rate would be around 1.7%. But there is much disagreement about how much undercounting there is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2020 Hibernated