Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 26, 2020

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Tue Apr 14 15:48:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Getting data on *when* and *where* (hospital, nursing home, at home) these deaths occurred would make interpretation and policy responses easier. Cuomo is now breaking out nursing home deaths in his press conferences; could use more of that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yep. For many reasons, we really want states to go back and find COVID-19 deaths they may have missed before. Even if that makes the numbers look superficially worse based on when those deaths are *reported*. — PolitiTweet.org

Deaths are lagging indicator. And are being grossly undercounted. So if we start undercounting less, the counts may… https://t.co/N9Bwmz3vgF

Posted April 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenDWalsh @TheStalwart No, the trendline isn't awful at all. It's pretty good. New hospitalizations have fallen quite a bit. The share of people testing positive has also declined quite a bit. People stay in the hospital a long time, so it will take longer for the net number to decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2020 Hibernated