Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 24, 2020

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Mon Apr 13 14:12:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To be clear: NY effed up and even 3 days (difference between CA and NY) can matter a lot. But for many reasons, when places shut down and how bad their outbreaks were is likely to be a messy correlation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here are the dates in each state when either stay-at-home orders were implemented or nonessential services were closed, whichever came first. (In NY, these happened on the same day.) https://t.co/VJRDoRe82e — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And, yeah, it gets more complicated if you look at partial measures, what cities were doing before statewide actions, etc. But not necessarily in a way that makes the narrative simpler, e.g. NYC was taking a lot of half-measures also. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated