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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 24, 2020

Created

Sun Apr 12 20:20:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The lesson of governmental responses to COVID-19 so far would seem to be roughly "governments eventually do the right thing, but it takes them longer than it should". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Mostly what we're hoping for is evidence that US-style social distancing, in places where it's in effect, is enough to get R below 1. If R is *about* or a little above 1, you could have a long plateau and a late peak. If it's under 1, you should begin to get a decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If that's the case, it would call for short-term pessimism re: most counties' ability to implement enough testing and tracing, etc. in time to get the economy revving up with the next 2 months. But it might also call for some medium-term optimism, perhaps, for the summer/fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2020 Hibernated

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