Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 24, 2020

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Sun Apr 12 17:28:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, this is fair. The numbers holding steady overall because they're rising in some places but declining in others is different than if they're plateauing everywhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Yes-ish... I'm still pretty skeptical that we could say this for the entire country. It seems beyond obvious at th… https://t.co/OM0i1AJqmR

Posted April 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Hope is not the same thing as "expect". I don't know what to expect, exactly. But as someone who has been watching this stuff closely: holding steady this past week probably qualified as mildly good news. By a week from now, merely holding steady might count as mildly bad news. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Mostly what we're hoping for is evidence that US-style social distancing, in places where it's in effect, is enough to get R below 1. If R is *about* or a little above 1, you could have a long plateau and a late peak. If it's under 1, you should begin to get a decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2020 Hibernated