Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Wed Apr 08 15:12:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Estimates are it takes 2-3 weeks from symptom onset to death (see below). But symptom onset takes ~5 days. And there's a lag between when a death occurs and when it's recorded. So maybe a 4-week lag total from infection to a death showing up in the data. https://t.co/9JGlUrvLK7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Looks like there's a lag here (in Louisiana, which is doing a better job of providing data than a lot of states) of about 3 days between when a death occurs and when it gets recorded in the data. — PolitiTweet.org

It's impossible to say to what degree this lag still exists, but only about 40% of Louisiana deaths that occurred b… https://t.co/2MhoBj5SPz

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, there's also increasing evidence that many deaths, especially outside of a hospital setting, were missed the first time around. If states and countries make efforts to revisit those as some (e.g. France) are doing, there can be longer lags in when deaths are reported. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2020 Hibernated