Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Mon Apr 06 22:48:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Source as usual is @COVID19Tracking. Also, there's *clearly* been a New York slowdown, which is tending to dominate the data; NY vs. rest of country may be on somewhat different trajectories. https://t.co/Abv6ItXpQx — PolitiTweet.org

New daily deaths held steady at 1,182, about as many as yesterday. New York continues to dominate the movement of t… https://t.co/5i0nSsJVJV

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, there's a lot going on here. There's been a slowdown. But also important: there may be some day-of-week effects. The last two Tuesdays were quite bad. Possible there's a backlog of cases on weekends that then finally make it into Tuesday's reporting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, 17% of newly-reported tests in the past 3 days have been positive, as compared with 22% in the week before that. That's good since it shouldn't be as subject to day-of-week effects. It still could be subject to NY vs. rest-of-country effects, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated