Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Mon Apr 06 14:53:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser The data to suggest that the curve is bending in NYC is quite robust across a wide variety of metrics. How much it's bending and how fast is the question. But we have a better handle on NYC than a lot of places because it does a good job of tracking things like hospitalizations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while there's no doubt that deaths are significantly underreported, it's not so clear how this affects the shape of the curve, nor things like comparisons between different states and countries, and there are plausible effects that run in opposite directions from one another. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser I look at a lot of data and I talk people. Also, there are some reasonable priors to have based on when social distancing went into place and what the lags are. There are a lot of uncertainties. But there is a clearer story in NYC than most places. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 6, 2020 Hibernated