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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

Created

Sun Apr 05 15:10:10 +0000 2020

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52

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris There's no such thing as an out of sample prediction except a prediction that you publish in advance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"The public blames presidents for recessions, but only if they result from obscure failures of monetary policy that they don't fully understand" is a terrible theory and basically what you'd be left with if the models don't "work" during a coronavirus recession. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris There are many things you can do to make your model more robust out of sample. But you can't actually actually make an out-of-sample prediction if you know the result, and data science curriculum that teaches people otherwise is wrong and instills a lot of bad habits. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020 Hibernated

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