Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Fri Apr 03 19:32:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing I don't totally get about the @IHME_UW projections is that they seem to be projecting a ratio of about 100 hospitalizations for every one death, when empirically states are running at a ratio of about 10 hospitalizations for every death. https://t.co/UewqPIHWdw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I guess I think about it like this. * Early June is probably a realistic over-under for when things start to open up anyway, for better or worse * Setting a clear date would provide for a focal point, and the benefits of that may outweigh losing flexibility. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

(There are a lot of ways to explain the discrepancy, some of which have pretty favorable implications and some of which have rather unfavorable ones. I don't have much sense for which explanation is right.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 3, 2020 Hibernated