Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Thu Apr 02 16:02:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, reducing travel by ~67% in places *without* stay-at-home orders isn't awful. But it could well be—although everyone's guessing here until we look at the data 2 weeks from now—that 67% isn't enough to get R0 <1, whereas 84% is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not the headline here, but people reducing travel by ~84% in states with stay-at-home orders seems good. That's a lot. Enough that we might hope to get R0 under 1 in those states (i.e. the number of new infections will start to shrink). https://t.co/7jcq7bpeXZ https://t.co/9kjSPGK3Fd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Italy is back up to some high test volumes (by their standards)—40k tests reported today after having fallen to ~25k/day over the weekend—so the slowdown in their numbers is likely a bit sharper than it looks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 2, 2020 Hibernated