Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Thu Mar 26 16:13:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Big increase in hospitalizations in NY state today, per Cuomo's presser, to 5,327, after slower growth for the past two days. My advice is to wait for 3-4 days' worth of data before declaring a trend, especially a downward trend. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There is also likely significant underdetection in Trump states. In Trump states that report on hospitalizations, 20% of detected cases are resulting in hospitalizations, compared to 12% in Clinton states (10% without NY). That probably means a lot of mild cases are being missed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically *none* of the coronavirus data is being reported *exactly* in real time. There are lags, bottlenecks, etc., in reporting, and sometimes a good day one day means there's been a bottleneck which will yield a *worse* day the next day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated