Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Wed Mar 25 23:52:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These might not *seem* like big differences. But multiplied over days/weeks, they matter a lot: 30% = daily growth is quite bad; steepest part of exponential curve 20% = slope nudged downward but still exponential growth 10% = rather encouraging, may mean Ro<1 and spread slowing — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Increase over yesterday in detected coronavirus cases. Hopefully, grouping things by region helps even out disparities in testing rates. South: +32% Northeast (excluding NY): +30% Midwest: +27% West (excluding CA & WA): +23% New York: +20% California: +20% Washington: +11% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A 3-week national lockdown would probably do more good than a 6-week lockdown in some places and a 0-week lockdown in others, but we're probably going to get the latter and not the former. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 26, 2020 Hibernated