Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 4, 2020

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Thu Mar 19 17:58:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, based both on empirical measures and my anecdotal experience, there wasn't a lot of voluntary social distancing in NYC until maybe last Monday (3/11) or Tuesday (3/12). Nor were public authorities especially quick to respond there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For some of the same reasons I feel encouraged about Seattle, I am worried about NY. Even though a lot of the new cases reflect more testing, the number of positive tests as a share of all tests is rather high (somewhere between 9-16% in the most recent data vs. ~5-6% for WA). — PolitiTweet.org

The numbers in Washington state, which has done far more testing per capita than any other US state, are mildly enc… https://t.co/NzoYTMM0uO

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While it may be fun to shame people for going to brunch last weekend or de Blasio for going to the gym on Monday, there seems to have been a lot of voluntary social distancing by then. The bigger problems were likely 7-10 days before then when NYC was operating at ~full speed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 19, 2020 Hibernated