Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2020

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Sun Mar 08 22:50:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't get why prediction markets think there's a ~60% chance of a recession this year but that Trump is a ~55% fa… https://t.co/9D2efPwn6o — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When people who think similarly to one another, who follow another and who are influenced by one another make simil… https://t.co/WKGCxH9kPE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also don't give me 13-dimensional chess explanations like "a Q2/Q3 recession will yield catch-up growth in Q4 thus helping Trump". The relationship between economic activity and incumbent performance is nowhere near that precisely defined. Recessions are bad for the incumbent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 9, 2020 Hibernated